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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

ADL Terrorism Update - January 2009

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January 2009 
Renewed Terrorist Threats In response to Israel’s military action in Gaza to stop Hamas rockets from being fired at Israeli towns and cities, several terrorist groups and their supporters have increased their threats against Israel and Jews. The threats, which are coming from Hamas, Hezbollah, Al Qaeda, and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine among others, exhort Muslims to target Israeli civilians, Jews all over the world, Israeli embassies and American forces in Afghanistan.



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Lashkar-e-Taiba
Lashkar-e-Taiba (LET), a Pakistani-based Islamic terrorist organization, has embraced a more global anti-Western ideology that considers the United States, Israel and India to be its primary enemies. LET has vowed that it will plant the “flag of Islam” in Washington, Tel Aviv and New Delhi.

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JINSA Report #852 It Wasn't A War To "Win"

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JINSA Report #852
January 28, 2009
It Wasn't A War To "Win"

Spiegel online ran an article this week entitled "Gaza in Ruins: Who Has Won Here?" by Ulrike Putz. It was an excellent survey of the mess of lives, ideology and ruin among the Palestinians. But a journalist - or political envoy to the region, Sen. Mitchell - knows that asking the right questions is essential to understanding. And you have to understand that this wasn't a war to "win." 

The right question is, "What is a civilized country to do when terrorists hiding amidst their own people fire ever-increasing numbers of ever-increasingly long-range and precise rockets into your civilian towns and villages?" Or, "What is a civilized country to do when a terrorist organization backed by a large, wealthy revolutionary country (Iran) announces that it will no longer honor a ceasefire previously honored largely in the breach anyhow, and the terrorists announce they will increase the frequency and range of the rockets and then proceed to do so?" Because while Israel was not retaliating, Hamas was making increasing headway in targeting Israeli towns and infrastructure, one might ask, "How long should Israel put the safety of Palestinian civilians, not on a par with its own civilians, but ahead of its own?" And, in the end, one might ask, "How long could Israel ignore the evident unwillingness or inability of Egypt to prevent the smuggling of increasingly lethal weaponry into Gaza?"

Israel answered those questions with restraint, restraint and restraint, until it was no longer possible for the government to look at its citizens and say, "Keep taking rocket fire, because something on the political horizon might make it worth it in the long run." Nothing positive was coming, people were increasingly traumatized and, in the end, it was the right, the duty and the obligation of the Government of Israel to do what it could to stop it or mitigate its effects.

Not to "win the war." Not to "destroy Hamas." Not to create disaffection between the Palestinians and Hamas in hopes that they would arise and topple the dictatorship. Not to restore Fatah to Gaza. Not to play the large, geostrategic game. Not to bring "peace" or a "two-state solution." Just to lessen the shooting, degrade the arsenal, destroy as many tunnels as possible and kill off some of Hamas's leadership. Just to respond to the crying need of the people of the south of Israel. It is what civilized governments DO.

If Hamas or Fatah responded to its people, what would they do?

Would they listen to 60-year-old Abu Abed, who told Putz, "'I've changed my mind about Hamas. I can't support any party that wages a war that destroys our lives.' He is particularly pained by the fact that Hamas is still selling the cease-fire as a victory," when a corpse of a Hamas fighter still lies, unclaimed, in his house. Would they listen to his neighbor who said, "Many people are now against Hamas but that won't change anything, because anyone who stands up to them is killed."

We expect nothing from them. But we expected more from other countries that claim to be civilized (the United States public largely excepted) who are furious with Israel for not continuing to suffer in silence. How would they answer the real questions? How will George Mitchell answer them in the name of the United States and President Obama?

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JINSA Report #851 The Two-State Solution Has Failed

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JINSA Report #851
January 28, 2009
The Two-State Solution Has Failed

At its theoretical best, it was never two states for two people.  

It could have been four states - Jordan, the West Bank, Israel, and Gaza - for two-and-a-half-and-a-half people: Israelis in Israel; Palestinians in the West Bank, Gaza, and Jordan; and the two halves being Arabs in Israel and Bedouins in Jordan. At its worst, it is two states - Jordan and Israel - with enclaves of irredentist Palestinians supported by Iran, Syria, Venezuela and Cuba eating at their sides. And always, there are hundreds of thousands of original refugees and their descendants festering in third countries - Lebanon, Syria and Egypt - unable to go where they want, and unwilling to go where they can.

At their theoretical best, the Palestinians could have taken up President Bush's conditions for American political support of their independence:

Peace requires a new and different Palestinian leadership, so that a Palestinian state can be born. I call on the Palestinian people to elect new leaders, leaders not compromised by terror. I call upon them to build a practicing democracy based on tolerance and liberty. If the Palestinian people actively pursue these goals, America and the world will actively support their efforts.

That was very theoretical - lyrical, but theoretical. The old, terrorist-dominated Palestinian leadership wasn't interested in ceding authority to young technocrats, or interested in tolerance of either Jews or independent-minded Palestinians. It wasn't interested in liberty or practicing anything. Each gift or concession Fatah and Hamas received from Israel or the international community was turned to the furtherance of violence and the veneration of death and destruction.  

Cry for Palestinian children, but remember the photos on the Hamas website (now removed) of beautiful children in uniforms, pretending to be suicide bombers, marching with guns to the approval of adult men. Search the Internet for the New York Times story of August 3, 2000 by John Burns, "Palestinian Summer Camp Offers the Games of War," alerting us that even before the so-called "second intifada" that Fatah was teaching its children that death was their destiny."  

Cry for the Palestinian economy, but remember the greenhouses - purchased on September 3, 2005 from settlers in Gush Katif for $14 million private Western dollars; employing 4,000 Palestinians; exporting $75 million worth of fruits, vegetables and flowers annually and destroyed on September 13, 2005.  

Remember, too the Palestinian civil war that bifurcated leadership roughly, but not completely, along territorial lines. All the king's horses and all the king's men couldn't bring Fatah leadership back to Gaza, even if we wanted to do it. And why should we?

Our new President has told us to put away childish things. One would be the idea that Palestinian nationalism ever saw its expression in two rump states straddling a strong, viable, democratic State of Israel partnered with a modern, forward-looking king in Jordan. Once we put that behind us, Israel will be more secure and the Palestinians may finally begin to look for a way out of the swamp.  If they do, we should help them; if they don't...

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

JINSA Report #850 "Palestinian Support for Hamas Has Not Declined" Part II

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JINSA Report #850
January 27, 2009
"Palestinian Support for Hamas Has Not Declined" Part II

If "support" for Hamas is in part fear of Hamas - as it is of every dictatorship - and if "support" for Hamas is support for an ideology organized and operated by people who commit war crimes*, how much should the world care if Palestinians say they "support" Hamas? How much did the Allies care about German public support for National Socialism? Or the Japanese who insisted that the Emperor was a deity and their duty was to die for him? How much do the Marines care about public support for al Qaeda in Iraq, or for the Taliban in Afghanistan?

We didn't and we don't.

To the extent that it is fear, they need to be rescued. To the extent they actually support Hamas and Fatah - which are strategically no different; both require that Israel and Jordan be replaced by a Palestinian State in which Jews may or may not be tolerated - they cannot be permitted to succeed. There are ideologies that are unacceptable, movements that cannot be given legitimacy, and governments that fail.  

Admittedly, the world is having a tough time with the principle, not only regarding the Palestinians. In Sudan, the government is abetting if not conducting genocide in Darfur.  In Zimbabwe, the government has caused epidemics and starvation among its people. In Iran, the government calls for genocide against Israel and builds nuclear weapons. In the old Iraq, the Saddam government gassed its own people and launched missiles at the civilians of Tehran, but those who never called for his prosecution want trials for us.  

International opinion has been extraordinarily tolerant of the depredations by Palestinians, including against their own their children, but rejects Israel's defense against it. Are they afraid of Hamas, or do they support its aims? Only here in the United States has opinion strongly supported Israel. But it remains to be seen how the new administration will address the issue. Recalling the previously unsuccessful George Mitchell as an envoy does not bode well for facing the truth and moving forward.

The truth is that the Palestinian experiment in self-government has utterly, abjectly and possibly irrevocably failed - not for lack of financial or political support from the world, including Israel, but because the Palestinians never agreed to the conditions that accompany civilized independence, including a decent respect for the neighbors. The result is ever-increasing radicalization and impoverishment of the Palestinian people by two Palestinian governments at war with one another and with Israel.  

If the United States is to help the Palestinians out of the morass of their failed leadership and help Israel achieve the recognition and security to which it is entitled, it matters little what the Palestinians say they want. It matters greatly that we accept that the reality that neither Hamas nor Fatah will bring peace to its people or recognition to Israel.

*Firing at civilians, hiding among civilians, training child soldiers and executing prisoners are all violations of the Geneva Convention.

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Monday, January 26, 2009

JINSA Report #849 "Palestinian Support for Hamas Has Not Declined" Part I

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JINSA Report #849
January 26, 2009
"Palestinian Support for Hamas Has Not Declined" Part I

In the aftermath of Operation Cast Lead, journalists are heavily focused on the misery of Palestinian civilians. Lo and behold, one of the great journalistic discoveries of our time seems to be that despite their misery, Palestinian "civilians" "still support Hamas." Sorry, guys. This is an old story that requires the application of two of journalism's five great questions: "Why does it happen?" and "What does it mean?"

The story of Palestinian abuse at the hands of their own requires retelling in part out of simple fairness to Israel and the Palestinians and, in part, because it has policy implications for Israel and the United States going forward.

Palestinian civilians have suffered far greater abuse by the Arab states (abetted by the UN) than by Israel. More than 60 years of propaganda, refusal to accept the creation of a Palestinian Arab state in 1948, demonization of Israel and of Jews, and inter-generational refugee status that ensured Palestinians no future, created the only refugee problem that grows geometrically over time. Only in Israel are there no Arab refugee camps. Only in Israel are the Arabs  - displaced by the creation of Israel and the illegal occupation of Gaza and the West Bank by Egypt and Jordan respectively - full citizens with a vote in a democratic parliament. (West Bank Palestinians were not full citizens of Jordan at the time of their acquisition by Israel in the defensive war of 1967.)

Add to this, the corrupt, violent and radical Palestinian leadership of Fatah and Hamas.  

Fatah, supposedly moderate, pioneered suicide bombings. It was Fatah "security forces" that bludgeoned two Israeli soldiers to death, threw their bodies out a second story window and held up their bloody hands in triumph. Fatah executes "collaborators";  Palestinians who work with Israel. A Fatah sniper killed the infant Shalhevet Pass in her father's arms. Fatah built a shrine to the Sbarro pizza parlor bombing and had viewers trample an Israeli flag on the way into the exhibition. Fatah TV said Israelis put Palestinian children in ovens. Fatah was so financially and politically corrupt that given a chance, Palestinian voters chose Hamas - violent and religiously fundamentalist, but then considered relatively clean. Corruption however, particularly moral corruption, is relative.

So yes, Hamas was elected once, but so were Hugo Chavez, Robert Mugabe, the ayatollahs and Hitler. A single election, followed by the bloody ouster of Fatah from Gaza; despotic rule, including imprisonment and assassination for the insufficiently enthusiastic; propaganda and demonization particularly aimed at children (Hamas TV told children Israeli soldiers ate Mickey Mouse but Hamas would make Israel pay); creation of child-soldiers in violation of international law (their pictures once covered the Hamas website but they've since been removed); control of food, jobs, electricity and medicine by the regime to reward its supporters and deny its foes.  

Read deep into the stories of Palestinian suffering in Gaza and you find people who knew - and told journalists - that they lived next to Hamas rocket launchers, that there were smuggling tunnels in their basements, that mosques and UNRWA schools were armories and hiding places. That they were human shields and knew it. What were they supposed to do? Complain?

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

JINSA Report #848 Three Cheers for Italy

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JINSA Report #848
January 22, 2009
Three Cheers for Italy

1.  An Italian trade union called for a boycott of Jewish-owned shops in Rome to protest Israel's offensive in Gaza. In response, Italian politicians from across the political spectrum condemned the union. Rome's mayor, from the political right, visited the city's Jewish quarter and said the proposal sounded like the fascist race laws of the 1930s. The Flaica-Cub union of the retail and food sectors denied anti-Semitism in the flyers urging a boycott of "shops in central Rome linked to the Israelite community." Italy's main trade unions denounced the boycott proposal as "shameful" and suggested that shopkeepers throw the handbills - which they said listed streets dominated by Jewish shops under the slogan "sales dirtied by blood" - in the trash.

2.  Italian Parliamentarian Fiamma Nirenstein wrote on 15 January under a photograph of the Parliament Building in Rome:

You can see the Palace on top of the square, and in front a lot of Israeli flags. That was yesterday night from 6:30 to 9:30 P.M. What you cannot see here, is the extraordinary number and variety of members of the Parliament, about 100 from all political sides, that took the stage during our marathon: for about three hours we have been speaking about the role of Israel, its right to self defense, its moral height, its fight in name of all of us, of our civilization and values, against the wild hate of the Islamic jihad represented by Hamas. It seems to me that for the first time in the too-long history of the Arab-Israeli conflict, apart from a minority of crazy leftists and fascists that took the street on anti-Semitic slogans, we have obtained a huge consensus about one critical point: this is not an episode of a local conflict, there is nothing in it that reminds the land for peace theme that has characterized the Palestinian issue. This is an episode of the attack against the Western world, and Iran has a lot to do with it.

3.  The Italian newspaper Corriere della Serra quoted a doctor at Shifa Hospital in Gaza saying that most of those killed in Gaza were young men who were members of Hamas. "The number of deaths was between 500-600...most were young men between 17 and 23 who were recruited into the ranks of Hamas, which sent them to be slaughtered," he said. Italian journalist Lorenzo Cremonesi confirmed that approximately 600 people were killed, based on hospital visits and discussions with families of the victims. The doctor was quoted as saying, "It was strange that the non-governmental organizations, including Western ones, repeated the number without checking, but the truth will come to light in the end. It's like what happened in Jenin...  At the beginning they spoke of 500 dead; afterwards it was clear there were only 54 dead, at least 45 of them fighters."

A cheer as well for Germany's Spiegel on line, for excellent on the ground reporting from Gaza post-cease fire, noting the precision of Israel's hits ["Whole rows of houses stand in darkness. In between, precisely destroyed individual buildings can be seen again and again. There is usually a green Hamas flag lying in tatters somewhere in the rubble."]; the admission of smugglers that they used people's homes to hide tunnels, and the rising anger of Gazans with Hamas. ["Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Egypt have been sending flour, sugar and milk powder, but the government is not distributing it -- they sell it!" (In Damascus, Hamas leader) Khaled Mashaal spoke of a "divine victory." Three people who are watching Mashaal's speech on television in a coffee shop in Khan Yunis in the south of Gaza react with anger. "This guy should give up politics and stick to selling sweet potatoes instead."].

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

JINSA Report #847 Change Here and Change There

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JINSA Report #847
January 21, 2009
Change Here and Change There

It was hard to tear ourselves away from the inauguration and impossible to think we are the same country today as we were yesterday at 11:59. We have always believed that ours is an exceptional country, particularly in the peaceful passing of power between presidents and between parties. Ours is an extraordinary country, as the election of a minority president by the majority makes evident. But the ways in which America is different today are ways that have to do with us as a people and adjustments to our view of ourselves. If our adversaries think we have changed in ways that matter to them, they will be disappointed.

That doesn't mean there isn't great change afoot, and as we go back to work today, change abroad is real and it matters.

There was a double change in the Middle East over the weekend. It was Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari who told Kuwait television that the Arab foreign ministers had been unable to reach consensus on a statement regarding Gaza. When was the last time Iraq spoke for the Arab world, and the last time Arab rulers couldn't agree that Israel was the problem? The foreign ministers divided loosely into the pro-Iranians and the anti-Iranians, with Saudi Arabia and Egypt leading the latter.  

The old paradigm - Israel vs. the Arab states and the "Palestinian problem" has to be solved before the Arab countries can work with us - is over.  

The Associated Press reported that the European countries, Arabs and the UN have all pledged money or aid since the cease-fire, but none of the donors want to deal with Hamas. Israel wants the aid funneled through Abu Mazen's Fatah, but the Palestinian civil war in which Hamas threw Fatah out of Gaza never ended and there is no indication that Hamas - holding "victory" rallies and intercepting humanitarian aid shipments at gunpoint in Gaza yesterday - will acquiesce to Fatah control of aid or anything else. Credible reports from Gaza indicate that Hamas has been arresting (and torturing) Fatah supporters, particularly since the cease-fire. On top of which, Abu Mazen's term of office ended earlier this month and even some West Bank Palestinians are looking for change - not necessarily positive change. Many are angry that Abu Mazen prevented pro-Hamas rallies during the war.

There are no Palestinians to whom to give their putative state. The state will have to wait. But Iran cannot wait.  

Iranian progress toward nuclear weapons is a threat President Obama has addressed, and while we are admitted skeptics of his approach, we agree he has to try. But Iran has to be seen in its non-nuclear regional configuration as well. Israel's action in Gaza has exposed the fact that the pro-Iranian axis (Iran-Syria-Hamas-Hezbollah) is pulling our erstwhile ally Turkey away from its Western moorings. The potential damaging implications for Europe and NATO if Turkey ceases to operate as a secular, democratic country should command President Obama's earliest attention.   

Welcome to the world of Middle East politics, President Obama, where nothing is certain except that when change comes, it will rock the boat.

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